Geopolitics

The dome of the Capitol in Washington. From January 3, 2027, both chambers of Congress will be under Democratic control.
Analysis

Referendum at the gas pump: how the war with Iran cost Trump Congress

For the first time in modern American history, a midterm election has been decided by a war of choice and by the price voters paid for that war at the pump. The Democrats are taking both chambers of Congress, but the most dangerous sixty days are yet to come.

4 November 2026
13:034 November 2026US electionsExit polls: Trump's approval rating at 38 percent, the lowest for any president in a midterm election.12:484 November 2026US electionsByron Donalds elected governor of Florida, the first Black Republican elected governor in US history.
The Taiwan Strait, photographed from the International Space Station
Analysis

Taiwan without major drills: Beijing changes its method, not its goal

For the first time in several years, the Taiwanese president’s October speech did not trigger a major military exercise around the island. Behind the apparent lull lies a different strategy: snap drills, cyber pressure ahead of elections, criminal proxies and pressure on the Philippines.

3 November 2026
Jebel Marra and the Deriba Caldera in Darfur, Sudan, photographed from the International Space Station
Analysis

A year after El Fasher: Sudan, the war the world watches from space

Satellite imagery from Yale University shows a city where life has practically stopped, hospitals with pits and a 75-kilometer berm around the city. The drone war is spreading to Khartoum and the power grid, while foreign backers of both sides go unpunished.

3 November 2026